Hibernian FC vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.7%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.5%
17.8%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hibernian FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 2013 |
HIB
3 - 0
KIL
50%
26%
25%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2013 |
ROS
0 - 2
HIB
46%
26%
28%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
HIB
0 - 0
STJ
37%
28%
35%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
CEL
1 - 0
HIB
74%
17%
9%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
HIB
1 - 1
PAR
52%
25%
23%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 2013 |
STM
1 - 1
HOM
58%
24%
17%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2013 |
HOM
0 - 4
KIL
49%
25%
25%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -2 |
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
CEL
2 - 0
HOM
77%
16%
7%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
HOM
0 - 2
ICT
32%
27%
42%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
DUN
4 - 1
HOM
72%
18%
10%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | -1 |