Hibernian FC vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.9%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
16.8%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hibernian FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 1978 |
HIB
1 - 0
STR
37%
25%
38%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1978 |
GLA
2 - 1
HIB
65%
21%
14%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1978 |
HIB
1 - 1
DUN
55%
25%
20%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1978 |
STR
2 - 0
HIB
70%
17%
13%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 1978 |
PAR
2 - 1
HIB
49%
26%
25%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1978 |
HOM
2 - 0
CEL
26%
25%
48%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1978 |
ABE
1 - 2
HOM
74%
17%
10%
|
65 | 82 | 17 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 1978 |
HOM
0 - 0
GLA
31%
27%
41%
|
65 | 82 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1978 |
HOM
1 - 1
STM
56%
26%
19%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1978 |
DUN
3 - 1
HOM
61%
22%
16%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | -1 |