Hibernian FC vs Dunfermline Athletic FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.3%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
17.2%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hibernian FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2000 |
DUN
0 - 0
HIB
43%
26%
31%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1999 |
HIB
2 - 2
KIL
57%
23%
20%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1999 |
HOM
0 - 3
HIB
57%
22%
21%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 1999 |
HIB
2 - 2
MHE
55%
24%
21%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1999 |
CEL
4 - 0
HIB
69%
18%
13%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Dunfermline Athletic FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2000 |
DUN
2 - 0
AYR
65%
20%
14%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2000 |
DUN
2 - 2
FAL
57%
23%
20%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2000 |
LIV
1 - 0
DUN
43%
26%
31%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2000 |
RAI
3 - 0
DUN
43%
25%
32%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 1999 |
DUN
1 - 0
ICT
61%
21%
18%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | +1 |