Hibernian FC vs Dumbarton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.8%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
19.4%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hibernian FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1895 |
HIB
4 - 3
CLY
63%
20%
17%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1895 |
STM
1 - 3
HIB
43%
23%
34%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1895 |
DUN
2 - 2
HIB
34%
25%
41%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1895 |
HIB
4 - 2
CEL
28%
24%
49%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1895 |
TLA
2 - 7
HIB
68%
17%
15%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1895 |
DUM
4 - 2
STM
52%
19%
29%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1895 |
STB
4 - 3
DUM
63%
20%
18%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1895 |
DUM
5 - 4
CLY
65%
18%
17%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1895 |
DUN
4 - 1
DUM
57%
20%
23%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 1895 |
DUM
3 - 5
GLA
28%
22%
50%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | -1 |