Hibernian FC vs Ayr United analysis

Hibernian FC Ayr United
69 ELO 54
1.5% Tilt -6.2%
488º General ELO ranking 811º
Country ELO ranking 14º
ELO win probability
72.9%
Hibernian FC
18.1%
Draw
9%
Ayr United

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.9%
Win probability
Hibernian FC
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.1%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.1%
9%
Win probability
Ayr United
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Hibernian FC
+7%
-6%
Ayr United

ELO progression

Hibernian FC
Ayr United
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Hibernian FC
Hibernian FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Jan. 2017
QOS
Queen of the South
0 - 1
Hibernian FC
HIB
32%
27%
40%
69 59 10 0
21 Jan. 2017
BRA
Bonnyrigg Rose
1 - 8
Hibernian FC
HIB
14%
18%
68%
69 52 17 0
14 Jan. 2017
DUM
Dumbarton
0 - 1
Hibernian FC
HIB
20%
26%
54%
69 50 19 0
06 Jan. 2017
HIB
Hibernian FC
3 - 0
Dundee United
DUN
43%
27%
31%
68 70 2 +1
31 Dec. 2016
FAL
Falkirk
1 - 2
Hibernian FC
HIB
42%
27%
31%
68 62 6 0

Matches

Ayr United
Ayr United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Jan. 2017
AYR
Ayr United
1 - 4
Greenock Morton
GRE
29%
27%
44%
54 63 9 0
24 Jan. 2017
QUE
Queen's Park
2 - 2
Ayr United
AYR
38%
26%
36%
55 54 1 -1
21 Jan. 2017
AYR
Ayr United
0 - 0
Queen's Park
QUE
52%
24%
23%
55 54 1 0
14 Jan. 2017
FAL
Falkirk
1 - 1
Ayr United
AYR
67%
20%
13%
54 63 9 +1
07 Jan. 2017
AYR
Ayr United
0 - 2
Dunfermline Athletic FC
DUN
39%
26%
35%
56 59 3 -2