Hibernian FC vs Ayr United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.6%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
16%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hibernian FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2002 |
HIB
1 - 1
CEL
38%
24%
39%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2002 |
GLA
4 - 1
HIB
69%
18%
13%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2002 |
HIB
3 - 4
ABE
59%
21%
20%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2002 |
HIB
2 - 2
KIL
58%
22%
20%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2002 |
HIB
4 - 0
STR
77%
15%
8%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2002 |
ICT
1 - 1
AYR
55%
22%
23%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2002 |
AYR
3 - 0
DUN
51%
23%
26%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2002 |
AYR
0 - 1
CLY
67%
19%
14%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2002 |
ARB
0 - 2
AYR
31%
25%
44%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2002 |
DEV
0 - 6
AYR
9%
18%
73%
|
68 | 37 | 31 | 0 |