Hibernian FC vs Ayr United analysis

Hibernian FC Ayr United
66 ELO 79
2.9% Tilt 5.9%
489º General ELO ranking 800º
Country ELO ranking 14º
ELO win probability
37.8%
Hibernian FC
25.8%
Draw
36.4%
Ayr United

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.8%
Win probability
Hibernian FC
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
36.4%
Win probability
Ayr United
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Hibernian FC
+7%
-3%
Ayr United

ELO progression

Hibernian FC
Ayr United
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Hibernian FC
Hibernian FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Oct. 1916
STM
St. Mirren
1 - 1
Hibernian FC
HIB
64%
19%
17%
66 68 2 0
30 Sep. 1916
HIB
Hibernian FC
1 - 1
Third Lanark
TLA
26%
24%
49%
66 83 17 0
23 Sep. 1916
KIL
Kilmarnock
1 - 3
Hibernian FC
HIB
66%
19%
15%
65 69 4 +1
18 Sep. 1916
HOM
Heart of Midlothian
2 - 1
Hibernian FC
HIB
81%
13%
6%
65 83 18 0
16 Sep. 1916
HIB
Hibernian FC
1 - 2
Dundee
DUN
23%
23%
55%
66 83 17 -1

Matches

Ayr United
Ayr United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Oct. 1916
AYR
Ayr United
1 - 3
Rangers
GLA
43%
26%
31%
79 83 4 0
30 Sep. 1916
AYR
Ayr United
1 - 0
Aberdeen
ABE
67%
19%
13%
79 69 10 0
23 Sep. 1916
RAI
Raith Rovers
1 - 3
Ayr United
AYR
29%
26%
45%
79 61 18 0
16 Sep. 1916
AYR
Ayr United
2 - 0
Heart of Midlothian
HOM
44%
26%
30%
78 83 5 +1
09 Sep. 1916
KIL
Kilmarnock
1 - 2
Ayr United
AYR
47%
25%
29%
78 70 8 0