Hibernian FC vs Arbroath analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.3%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
16%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
16%
8.7%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hibernian FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
HIB
2 - 0
ALL
81%
14%
6%
|
77 | 56 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2019 |
STI
1 - 1
HIB
7%
15%
78%
|
78 | 48 | 30 | -1 |
| 09 Jul. 2019 |
CUM
3 - 4
HIB
15%
20%
65%
|
78 | 55 | 23 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2019 |
DUN
1 - 3
HIB
16%
22%
63%
|
78 | 57 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2019 |
ARB
3 - 2
HIB
19%
23%
58%
|
78 | 59 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2019 |
STI
1 - 6
ARB
16%
21%
63%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2019 |
ARB
2 - 1
ELG
74%
16%
10%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | +1 |
| 09 Jul. 2019 |
MON
3 - 2
ARB
29%
24%
47%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Jul. 2019 |
ARB
3 - 2
HIB
19%
23%
58%
|
59 | 78 | 19 | +1 |
| 29 Jun. 2019 |
ARB
2 - 0
HOM
24%
24%
52%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |