Hibernian FC vs Arbroath analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.6%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.5%
9%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hibernian FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2017 |
ROS
0 - 0
HIB
58%
22%
20%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2017 |
HIB
4 - 0
MON
83%
13%
4%
|
70 | 48 | 22 | +1 |
| 11 Jul. 2017 |
BER
0 - 2
HIB
12%
19%
69%
|
70 | 46 | 24 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2017 |
HIB
2 - 2
SUN
36%
25%
39%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2017 |
DUN
0 - 4
HIB
35%
25%
40%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
ARB
4 - 0
MON
61%
22%
18%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2017 |
ALL
1 - 1
ARB
48%
24%
28%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2017 |
ARB
1 - 2
BOL
19%
21%
60%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2017 |
ARB
1 - 2
DUN
24%
23%
53%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2017 |
ARB
1 - 3
ABE
9%
17%
74%
|
54 | 81 | 27 | 0 |