HHC Hardenberg vs Heracles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.7%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.6%
77.4%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22%
0-3
10.7%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.4%
0-4
6.8%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
9.6%
0-5
3.5%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.6%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
1.9%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HHC Hardenberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
GVV
2 - 1
HHC
61%
21%
18%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
HHC
1 - 3
QUI
44%
25%
32%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
SPA
1 - 0
HHC
36%
25%
39%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
HHC
0 - 0
KOZ
73%
18%
10%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
NOO
1 - 0
HHC
23%
23%
54%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
SCH
3 - 0
HER
29%
25%
46%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
HER
2 - 2
TWE
28%
24%
48%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2023 |
S04
4 - 1
HER
45%
23%
32%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
GAE
4 - 0
HER
33%
25%
42%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
HER
2 - 1
ZWO
50%
24%
27%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |