HHC Hardenberg vs Excelsior .31 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
21%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
18%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HHC Hardenberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
IJS
0 - 2
HHC
63%
20%
18%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
HHC
3 - 1
JOD
60%
21%
19%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
GVV
2 - 1
HHC
57%
22%
22%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2012 |
HHC
4 - 4
NOO
36%
25%
39%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
DET
0 - 1
HHC
25%
23%
52%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior .31
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
JOD
3 - 1
EXC
40%
25%
35%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
EXC
1 - 2
LIS
45%
24%
32%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
NOO
1 - 1
EXC
65%
20%
15%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2012 |
EXC
1 - 2
IJS
32%
25%
43%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
RIJ
4 - 0
EXC
69%
18%
12%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | -1 |