HHC Hardenberg vs Excelsior .31 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.6%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
12.9%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HHC Hardenberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
PKC
1 - 1
HHC
21%
22%
56%
|
47 | 32 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
GEN
0 - 2
HHC
22%
24%
55%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
NUN
1 - 0
HHC
30%
24%
45%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
BER
0 - 3
HHC
32%
24%
44%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
HHC
4 - 3
FLE
72%
17%
12%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior .31
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
EXC
1 - 2
BER
55%
22%
23%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
EXC
0 - 3
WHC
51%
24%
25%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2009 |
EXC
2 - 2
ORA
75%
16%
9%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
ONS
0 - 3
EXC
47%
24%
29%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
PKC
1 - 5
EXC
42%
24%
35%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | +2 |