HFX Wanderers vs Valour analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.6%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
21.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
5º
8º
6º
28
6º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
50 | 50 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 39 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 34 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
30 | 30 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 30 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
28 | 28 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Eliminated
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HFX Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
YOR
2 - 1
HFX
46%
26%
28%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2024 |
HFX
1 - 0
CAV
33%
27%
41%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Jun. 2024 |
VAN
0 - 4
HFX
23%
25%
53%
|
68 | 29 | 39 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
HFX
2 - 2
FOR
32%
28%
40%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
HFX
0 - 0
PAC
31%
27%
42%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Valour
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
VAL
0 - 1
CAV
24%
26%
49%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2024 |
VAL
1 - 0
YOR
32%
26%
42%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
FOR
2 - 1
VAL
67%
20%
13%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
VAL
2 - 3
PAC
23%
26%
51%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
VAL
0 - 2
ATO
23%
26%
52%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | 0 |