HFX Wanderers vs Valour analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.8%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
26.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
3º
8º
3º
26
1º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 40 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 29 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
26 | 26 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HFX Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
FOR
1 - 1
HFX
60%
24%
17%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
HFX
3 - 0
VAN
79%
15%
6%
|
67 | 16 | 51 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2023 |
HFX
1 - 2
PAC
33%
28%
40%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
YOR
0 - 2
HFX
49%
26%
25%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
HFX
1 - 0
ATO
33%
28%
40%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Valour
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
VAL
1 - 3
ATO
33%
28%
39%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
VAL
3 - 2
CAV
26%
27%
48%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
VAN
0 - 0
VAL
12%
19%
69%
|
65 | 16 | 49 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
VAL
0 - 3
PAC
30%
27%
43%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2023 |
VAL
1 - 2
YOR
41%
27%
32%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | -1 |