Heybridge Swifts vs Wroxham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.6%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.3%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.6%
15.7%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
66
2º
10º
6º
50
10º
18º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
97 | 98 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
91 | 91 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
74 | 77 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
69 | 72 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
69 | 69 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
66 | 69 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
63 | 66 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
52 | 55 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
55 | 55 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
50 | 50 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
50 | 50 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
49 | 49 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
41 | 44 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
39 | 40 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
39 | 39 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
32 | 35 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
27 | 30 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
19º
|
25 | 28 |
18º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
27 | 27 |
19º
|
100% | |
|
20º
|
19 | 22 |
20º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heybridge Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
HUL
1 - 3
HEY
19%
22%
59%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
HEY
0 - 1
GRA
63%
19%
18%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
CTF
0 - 0
HEY
9%
17%
74%
|
36 | 17 | 19 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
HEY
5 - 1
BAS
84%
11%
5%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2023 |
GRE
3 - 2
HEY
14%
19%
67%
|
37 | 19 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Wroxham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2023 |
MAL
1 - 1
WRO
40%
23%
37%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
WRO
2 - 3
HTG
25%
21%
55%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
YEL
2 - 1
WRO
72%
17%
12%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
WRO
2 - 0
WHI
79%
13%
8%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 2023 |
GOR
1 - 2
WRO
15%
18%
68%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | +1 |