Heybridge Swifts vs Chipstead analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.6%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
15.5%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heybridge Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2022 |
BRA
2 - 1
HEY
65%
21%
15%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
HEY
1 - 1
BRA
23%
23%
54%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2022 |
BEC
1 - 1
HEY
38%
23%
40%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
HIT
0 - 3
HEY
52%
24%
24%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | +2 |
| 29 Aug. 2022 |
MAL
1 - 2
HEY
61%
20%
20%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Chipstead
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
MAR
3 - 0
CHI
31%
24%
46%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2022 |
CHI
4 - 2
WAL
35%
25%
39%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2022 |
CHI
1 - 0
WES
39%
24%
37%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
BED
0 - 0
CHI
65%
18%
16%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
CHI
0 - 1
SOU
40%
24%
36%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | -1 |