Heybridge Swifts vs AFC Dunstable analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.1%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.4%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.5%
40.4%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heybridge Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2016 |
HEY
1 - 1
BRE
44%
24%
32%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
PHO
3 - 0
HEY
50%
21%
29%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
ROY
1 - 4
HEY
65%
20%
15%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | +2 |
| 16 Aug. 2016 |
HEY
2 - 1
GRE
50%
22%
28%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
THA
2 - 1
HEY
62%
21%
17%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
AFC Dunstable
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2016 |
KEM
2 - 1
AFD
29%
22%
49%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
AFD
2 - 2
KID
81%
12%
7%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
BED
1 - 2
AFD
34%
23%
43%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2016 |
BAR
1 - 1
AFD
26%
22%
53%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
AFD
2 - 2
MAR
64%
18%
18%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | 0 |