Heusden-Zolder vs Geel-Meerhout analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.1%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
57.3%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
10%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heusden-Zolder
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
LIL
0 - 0
HEU
64%
20%
17%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
HEU
1 - 0
SPA
52%
23%
25%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
PAT
3 - 1
HEU
70%
18%
12%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
HEU
1 - 4
SIN
20%
24%
56%
|
33 | 51 | 18 | -2 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
HEU
1 - 4
WIT
36%
25%
39%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Geel-Meerhout
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
GEE
0 - 0
WIT
60%
22%
18%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
GEE
3 - 0
MAL
66%
20%
14%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
SPO
0 - 4
GEE
43%
25%
32%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
LEO
0 - 0
GEE
38%
25%
37%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
FAY
5 - 2
GEE
53%
22%
25%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -1 |