Hetman Zamosc vs Podhale Nowy Targ analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.6%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.9%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.2%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.6%
72.8%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
14%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22%
0-3
10.2%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
14.4%
0-4
5.6%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.4%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hetman Zamosc
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2021 |
HET
1 - 0
MSK
10%
17%
73%
|
13 | 29 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
JUT
5 - 3
HET
75%
14%
11%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2021 |
HET
3 - 3
WWP
8%
17%
75%
|
12 | 37 | 25 | +2 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
KSZ
6 - 0
HET
80%
14%
6%
|
12 | 38 | 26 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2021 |
HET
1 - 4
PBP
8%
15%
78%
|
13 | 35 | 22 | -1 |
Matches
Podhale Nowy Targ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2021 |
POD
1 - 2
SOK
49%
26%
25%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
MSK
0 - 0
POD
23%
22%
55%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2021 |
POD
1 - 1
WIS
26%
25%
49%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
JUT
1 - 2
POD
11%
17%
73%
|
41 | 20 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2021 |
POD
2 - 1
LKS
65%
19%
16%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |