Hestrafors vs Boljan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.5%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.3%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
35.8%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+428%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
8º
13º
13º
9
13º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
29 | 53 |
1º
|
49% | |
|
3º
|
28 | 51 |
2º
|
17.5% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 49 |
3º
|
23.5% | |
|
2º
|
29 | 49 |
4º
|
17.5% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 47 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
5º
|
23 | 43 |
6º
|
25% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 40 |
7º
|
30.5% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 35 |
8º
|
21.5% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 32 |
9º
|
23.5% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 32 |
10º
|
28% | |
|
11º
|
14 | 29 |
11º
|
35% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 20 |
12º
|
44% | |
|
|
12º
|
11 | 19 |
13º
|
42% | |
|
|
13º
|
9 | 13 |
14º
|
77% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
12% | 1.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
32.5% | 7.5% |
|
Relegation
|
55.5% | 91% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hestrafors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2025 |
LIS
3 - 1
HIF
87%
9%
4%
|
10 | 37 | 27 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
HIF
1 - 2
VAR
9%
15%
76%
|
10 | 44 | 34 | 0 |
Matches
Boljan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2025 |
IFB
0 - 3
OBK
8%
13%
78%
|
11 | 39 | 28 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2025 |
JON
3 - 0
IFB
84%
11%
6%
|
11 | 29 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2024 |
FAL
3 - 0
IFB
89%
8%
3%
|
11 | 66 | 55 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2020 |
IFB
2 - 1
TFF
50%
22%
29%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |