Hertha BSC vs Dynamo Dresden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.2%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
21.5%
14.2%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hertha BSC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
KAI
1 - 1
HER
41%
26%
33%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
HER
2 - 0
VFR
70%
20%
11%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2012 |
FCU
1 - 2
HER
25%
25%
50%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2012 |
HER
2 - 1
SSV
72%
19%
9%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
WWO
2 - 1
HER
9%
17%
74%
|
79 | 49 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Dynamo Dresden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
SGD
0 - 1
ING
54%
24%
22%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
SVS
1 - 1
SGD
40%
28%
33%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2012 |
SGD
1 - 3
KAI
35%
27%
38%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
MSV
1 - 3
SGD
50%
25%
24%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2012 |
CHE
0 - 3
SGD
35%
26%
39%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | +1 |