Hertha BSC vs Mainz 05 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.6%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
26.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hertha BSC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2015 |
FCN
0 - 2
HER
25%
25%
51%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
DAR
0 - 4
HER
26%
27%
48%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
HER
2 - 1
LEV
31%
26%
43%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
BYM
2 - 0
HER
79%
14%
7%
|
86 | 93 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
HER
1 - 0
HOF
39%
26%
36%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Mainz 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2015 |
M05
0 - 0
STU
42%
24%
34%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
HSV
1 - 3
M05
41%
26%
33%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
M05
2 - 1
EIN
40%
26%
34%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
KOL
0 - 0
M05
38%
26%
36%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
M05
2 - 0
WOL
21%
23%
55%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | 0 |