Hertha BSC vs Kaiserslautern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.6%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
24.5%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hertha BSC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
WEH
3 - 1
HER
22%
23%
55%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
HER
2 - 2
F95
36%
24%
40%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
GLA
0 - 1
HER
50%
22%
28%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2024 |
KVM
3 - 0
HER
37%
23%
40%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
HER
2 - 0
ERZ
74%
17%
10%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Kaiserslautern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2024 |
KAI
4 - 1
S04
29%
25%
46%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
STP
2 - 0
KAI
57%
24%
20%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2024 |
SGD
3 - 0
KAI
43%
24%
33%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
GEN
1 - 4
KAI
32%
23%
46%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
EBT
2 - 1
KAI
25%
25%
50%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | -1 |