Q. Europa League 3rd Round Final
Global 2-3
Hertha BSC vs Brøndby IF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.1%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
10%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
22.6%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hertha BSC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
NAN
1 - 1
HER
22%
24%
53%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2016 |
LUC
0 - 5
HER
8%
16%
76%
|
86 | 35 | 51 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
FCS
0 - 10
HER
5%
14%
81%
|
86 | 26 | 60 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
M05
0 - 0
HER
38%
26%
36%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
HER
1 - 2
DAR
56%
25%
19%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Brøndby IF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2016 |
SIF
0 - 2
BIF
25%
25%
50%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2016 |
BIF
0 - 1
HIB
58%
25%
17%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
BIF
4 - 0
ESB
52%
25%
23%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2016 |
HIB
0 - 1
BIF
27%
24%
49%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | +1 |
| 07 Jul. 2016 |
BIF
6 - 0
VAL
45%
27%
28%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |