Hertha BSC II vs Greifswalder analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
18.1%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
52
8º
15º
9º
37
9º
16º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
63 | 63 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
59 | 59 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
56 | 56 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
53 | 53 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
52 | 52 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
52 | 52 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
49 | 49 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
49 | 49 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
45 | 45 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
44 | 44 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
37 | 37 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
35 | 35 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
27 | 27 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
16 | 16 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
13 | 13 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hertha BSC II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
TEN
3 - 3
HER
24%
23%
53%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
HER
3 - 2
VIK
38%
25%
38%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
HER
0 - 1
BAB
65%
20%
15%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
LOK
4 - 2
HER
40%
25%
36%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
EIL
2 - 3
HER
16%
22%
63%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Greifswalder
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
GRE
3 - 1
LOK
20%
23%
58%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
CZJ
1 - 0
GRE
73%
17%
10%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
GRE
0 - 0
CHE
15%
21%
65%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
BAK
2 - 0
GRE
68%
18%
14%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2022 |
GRE
0 - 0
FLO
47%
23%
30%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |