Hershey vs Motown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
5.2%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1%
1-0
1.8%
2-1
1.6%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
4%
11%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
11%
83.7%
Win probability
2.93
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.7%
0-3
11.9%
1-4
5.5%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
18.6%
0-4
8.8%
1-5
3.2%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0%
-4
12.5%
0-5
5.1%
1-6
1.6%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
6.9%
0-6
2.5%
1-7
0.7%
2-8
0.1%
-6
3.3%
0-7
1.1%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1.3%
0-8
0.4%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.5%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hershey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2019 |
HER
1 - 1
JLS
6%
13%
81%
|
12 | 36 | 24 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2019 |
HER
1 - 3
MON
7%
13%
81%
|
12 | 33 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2019 |
ATC
2 - 2
HER
90%
7%
2%
|
12 | 37 | 25 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2019 |
HER
1 - 3
ECS
59%
20%
22%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
HER
0 - 3
WCU
6%
12%
82%
|
14 | 38 | 24 | -1 |
Matches
Motown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2019 |
FCM
3 - 1
TOR
93%
6%
2%
|
42 | 7 | 35 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2019 |
FCM
3 - 1
ECS
92%
6%
2%
|
42 | 14 | 28 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2019 |
FCM
3 - 0
NJC
81%
12%
7%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2019 |
WCU
2 - 2
FCM
39%
24%
37%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
ECS
1 - 3
FCM
5%
11%
84%
|
41 | 12 | 29 | 0 |