Herselt vs Ternesse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
4.8%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.5%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
0.1%
+2
0.9%
1-0
1.7%
2-1
1.5%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
3.7%
10.6%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
5%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
10.6%
84.6%
Win probability
2.97
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.6%
0-3
12.3%
1-4
5.5%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
18.8%
0-4
9.1%
1-5
3.3%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0%
-4
12.9%
0-5
5.4%
1-6
1.6%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
7.3%
0-6
2.7%
1-7
0.7%
2-8
0.1%
-6
3.4%
0-7
1.1%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0%
-7
1.4%
0-8
0.4%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.5%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
12º
16º
16º
47
1º
8º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 67 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 64 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
47 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 43 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
38 | 38 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 34 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 34 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 33 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 21 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
9 | 10 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Herselt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
KFC
5 - 3
HER
87%
9%
4%
|
11 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
HER
2 - 2
SKS
11%
16%
73%
|
11 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
RET
2 - 0
HER
90%
8%
3%
|
11 | 32 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
HER
0 - 5
TIS
6%
13%
81%
|
11 | 32 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
ANT
1 - 0
HER
91%
7%
3%
|
11 | 25 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Ternesse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
TER
1 - 2
TIS
57%
19%
24%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
GBA
1 - 0
TER
27%
22%
52%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
TER
2 - 0
DEK
64%
18%
18%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
RAN
1 - 3
TER
19%
19%
62%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
TER
3 - 1
BER
72%
15%
12%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |