Herrestads AIF vs Stenungsund analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.4%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
31.3%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
1º
5º
4º
42
1º
5º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 59 |
1º
|
92.5% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 59 |
2º
|
92.5% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
44 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
42 | 42 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 32 |
7º
|
65% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 31 |
8º
|
24% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
31.5% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 30 |
10º
|
34.5% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 28 |
11º
|
24% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 26 |
12º
|
59.5% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
78% | |
|
14º
|
19 | 19 |
14º
|
78% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Herrestads AIF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
GAU
1 - 2
HER
48%
21%
31%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
HER
0 - 0
LID
43%
22%
35%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
HER
2 - 1
NOR
71%
17%
13%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
BKF
2 - 1
HER
56%
19%
24%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
GRE
0 - 4
HER
52%
21%
28%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Stenungsund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
STE
1 - 1
VFK
68%
18%
14%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
TIK
3 - 0
STE
65%
19%
17%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
LID
2 - 2
STE
41%
24%
35%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
STE
2 - 2
FBK
36%
21%
43%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
STE
3 - 1
GAU
47%
23%
30%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +1 |