Herrestads AIF vs Saffle SK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
16.4%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
1º
5º
4º
27
2º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 59 |
1º
|
92.5% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 59 |
2º
|
92.5% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
44 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 42 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 32 |
7º
|
65% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 31 |
8º
|
24% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
31.5% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 30 |
10º
|
34.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
27 | 28 |
11º
|
24% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 26 |
12º
|
59.5% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
78% | |
|
14º
|
19 | 19 |
14º
|
78% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 59.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 40.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Herrestads AIF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
HER
0 - 2
SKO
47%
22%
31%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
TIK
0 - 0
HER
47%
21%
32%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
HER
3 - 1
VFK
70%
17%
13%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
FBK
3 - 2
HER
36%
22%
42%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
HER
2 - 0
YIK
71%
16%
13%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Saffle SK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
LID
0 - 0
SKS
67%
18%
15%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
SKS
1 - 0
GAU
31%
23%
46%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
STE
4 - 1
SKS
62%
19%
19%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
NOR
0 - 4
SKS
55%
20%
25%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | +2 |
| 28 Jul. 2023 |
SKS
0 - 2
BKF
26%
21%
54%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | -1 |