Herrestads AIF vs Motala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.3%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
42.5%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
3º
8º
3º
37
7º
14º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 47 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 24 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Herrestads AIF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
STE
4 - 1
HER
30%
25%
45%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2024 |
HER
0 - 1
SKO
42%
25%
34%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2024 |
GRE
2 - 2
HER
35%
25%
41%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2024 |
HER
2 - 0
AIF
32%
25%
44%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | +2 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
BKF
0 - 1
HER
32%
21%
47%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Motala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2024 |
MOT
5 - 5
KUM
80%
13%
7%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
VFK
2 - 2
MOT
19%
22%
59%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2024 |
MOT
0 - 0
LID
65%
19%
16%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
MOT
3 - 3
STE
72%
17%
11%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2024 |
SKO
4 - 2
MOT
34%
25%
42%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | -1 |