Herrestads AIF vs Lidköping analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.3%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
28.9%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
3º
11º
4º
26
1º
7º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
27 | 53 |
1º
|
45% | |
|
2º
|
26 | 49 |
2º
|
23.5% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 47 |
3º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
26 | 47 |
4º
|
19.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
26 | 44 |
5º
|
19% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 40 |
6º
|
26.5% | |
|
6º
|
19 | 36 |
7º
|
24% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 35 |
8º
|
23.5% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 34 |
9º
|
14.5% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 30 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
11º
|
15 | 29 |
11º
|
26.5% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 25 |
12º
|
46% | |
|
13º
|
12 | 17 |
13º
|
49.5% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 16 |
14º
|
60% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
11.5% | 5.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
18% | 10% |
|
Mid-table
|
70.5% | 84.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Herrestads AIF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2025 |
MOT
2 - 2
HER
60%
20%
20%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
KUM
0 - 3
HER
40%
25%
35%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2025 |
HER
0 - 4
KON
33%
24%
43%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
AIF
2 - 0
HER
42%
25%
33%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -2 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
FBK
2 - 3
HER
55%
22%
23%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Lidköping
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2025 |
IKT
0 - 1
LID
37%
26%
38%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2025 |
LID
0 - 0
VFK
60%
21%
20%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2025 |
LID
1 - 0
KUM
43%
24%
33%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
VAN
3 - 2
LID
38%
26%
36%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
LID
5 - 1
SFC
82%
12%
6%
|
41 | 8 | 33 | -1 |