Herrestads AIF vs Kumla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.4%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
20%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
18.6%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
3º
8º
3º
38
5º
10º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 47 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 24 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Herrestads AIF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
HER
1 - 1
TIK
27%
24%
49%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
FBK
3 - 1
HER
49%
23%
29%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
HER
2 - 1
STE
46%
22%
31%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
GAU
1 - 2
HER
48%
21%
31%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
HER
0 - 0
LID
43%
22%
35%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Kumla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
AIF
2 - 0
KUM
77%
14%
9%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
KUM
2 - 2
SKS
40%
23%
37%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
KUM
3 - 1
LID
14%
19%
68%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | +4 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
3 - 0
KUM
72%
16%
12%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
KUM
2 - 5
AUS
48%
22%
31%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | -1 |