Herrestads AIF vs Kongahälla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.9%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.2%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
42.8%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
3º
11º
4º
26
1º
3º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
27 | 53 |
1º
|
45% | |
|
|
2º
|
26 | 49 |
2º
|
23.5% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 47 |
3º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
26 | 47 |
4º
|
19.5% | |
|
3º
|
26 | 44 |
5º
|
19% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 40 |
6º
|
26.5% | |
|
6º
|
19 | 36 |
7º
|
24% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 35 |
8º
|
23.5% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 34 |
9º
|
14.5% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 30 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
11º
|
15 | 29 |
11º
|
26.5% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 25 |
12º
|
46% | |
|
13º
|
12 | 17 |
13º
|
49.5% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 16 |
14º
|
60% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
11.5% | 24.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
18% | 23.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
70.5% | 52% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Herrestads AIF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
AIF
2 - 0
HER
42%
25%
33%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
FBK
2 - 3
HER
55%
22%
23%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
HER
3 - 3
VAN
50%
25%
26%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
HER
2 - 0
STE
59%
22%
19%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
MOT
0 - 1
HER
57%
21%
22%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Kongahälla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
IFH
0 - 2
KON
11%
14%
75%
|
48 | 24 | 24 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2025 |
KON
2 - 2
GRE
57%
22%
21%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2025 |
VFK
1 - 4
KON
26%
23%
52%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
TRO
4 - 3
KON
61%
19%
21%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
KON
1 - 1
AST
45%
24%
31%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |