Herrestads AIF vs FBK Karlstad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.3%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
17.4%
16.6%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+37%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
1º
5º
4º
56
1º
14º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 59 |
1º
|
92.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
56 | 59 |
2º
|
92.5% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
44 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 42 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 32 |
7º
|
65% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 31 |
8º
|
24% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
31.5% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 30 |
10º
|
34.5% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 28 |
11º
|
24% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 26 |
12º
|
59.5% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
78% | |
|
14º
|
19 | 19 |
14º
|
78% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 7.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 92.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Herrestads AIF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
HER
5 - 2
NOR
56%
21%
23%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
MAI
0 - 0
HER
40%
22%
39%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
HER
2 - 0
GAU
30%
23%
47%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | +2 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
HER
2 - 2
STE
51%
22%
28%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
VFK
3 - 3
HER
38%
21%
41%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
FBK Karlstad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
FBK
1 - 1
SKO
36%
22%
42%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
NOR
7 - 3
FBK
74%
15%
11%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
FBK
5 - 2
TIK
21%
20%
59%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | +3 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
FBK
0 - 4
VAG
31%
22%
47%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
HFC
2 - 0
FBK
51%
20%
29%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | -1 |