Herrera vs Olvega SD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.4%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.1%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.7%
12.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-50%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Herrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
CAL
3 - 1
HER
12%
18%
70%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
HER
3 - 0
PRA
32%
22%
46%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
RIV
2 - 2
HER
15%
19%
66%
|
15 | 8 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
HER
1 - 1
MON
68%
17%
15%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
TOR
1 - 2
HER
45%
22%
33%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Olvega SD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
OLV
4 - 1
GAL
21%
22%
57%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
ATE
0 - 1
OLV
88%
8%
4%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | +2 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
OLV
0 - 1
EPI
10%
16%
73%
|
7 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
BOQ
2 - 1
OLV
64%
19%
18%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | -2 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
OLV
2 - 4
CDB
55%
21%
24%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | -1 |