Herrera vs Mores CD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.8%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
18.1%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Herrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
ATC
1 - 1
HER
67%
19%
15%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
HER
0 - 2
CEL
60%
21%
19%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
CDU
2 - 0
HER
51%
24%
26%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
HER
3 - 3
BUJ
75%
15%
10%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
VAL
3 - 5
HER
68%
18%
14%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Mores CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
CEL
1 - 0
MOR
55%
23%
22%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
MOR
1 - 1
BUJ
41%
24%
35%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
CFV
1 - 0
MOR
76%
15%
9%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
MOR
0 - 2
FRA
13%
19%
68%
|
15 | 23 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
SFE
0 - 1
MOR
67%
19%
14%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | +1 |