Herrera vs Luceni CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.8%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
19%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
17.3%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-80%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Herrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
HER
1 - 4
RIV
71%
16%
12%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
ATE
2 - 2
HER
14%
17%
69%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
HER
3 - 0
TOR
41%
22%
37%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
TAU
1 - 1
HER
51%
21%
28%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
HER
1 - 0
NOV
73%
16%
11%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Luceni CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
LUC
5 - 1
ATE
60%
20%
21%
|
10 | 8 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
TOR
2 - 0
LUC
69%
17%
14%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
LUC
0 - 1
TAU
26%
22%
52%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
NOV
0 - 6
LUC
46%
23%
31%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
LUC
0 - 1
EUR
24%
22%
54%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | 0 |