Herrera vs CD Utrillas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.6%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.4%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
61.5%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Herrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
CDC
2 - 1
HER
56%
21%
23%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
HER
3 - 0
CAL
34%
23%
44%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
ALC
3 - 1
HER
46%
23%
31%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
HER
2 - 2
CDA
26%
24%
50%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2021 |
ZAR
5 - 3
HER
30%
23%
47%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
CD Utrillas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
CDU
4 - 2
LAA
62%
21%
17%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
MAE
1 - 2
CDU
21%
23%
56%
|
24 | 14 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
CDU
1 - 0
AND
80%
14%
6%
|
24 | 10 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
ACF
0 - 1
CDU
35%
25%
40%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2021 |
CAS
1 - 0
CDU
41%
26%
33%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | -1 |