Herrera vs Morata CD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.5%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
19.5%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Herrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
BOR
1 - 4
HER
51%
22%
28%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
HER
1 - 2
REM
59%
20%
21%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
ARI
0 - 1
HER
32%
22%
46%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
CDC
0 - 1
HER
30%
22%
49%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
HER
1 - 0
OLV
70%
17%
13%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Morata CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
CDM
2 - 2
GAL
71%
18%
12%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
ATE
0 - 0
CDM
55%
22%
23%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
CDM
4 - 1
EPI
53%
22%
25%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
CDB
1 - 3
CDM
19%
24%
57%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
CDM
0 - 0
TAU
26%
22%
53%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |