Herrera vs Alcañiz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.7%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
34.5%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Herrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
ALB
0 - 1
HER
16%
20%
64%
|
15 | 8 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
HER
3 - 1
CAR
58%
19%
23%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
DEL
1 - 2
HER
63%
20%
18%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
HER
2 - 0
MOR
17%
22%
61%
|
11 | 20 | 9 | +2 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
CDM
3 - 0
HER
34%
24%
43%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Alcañiz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
ACF
1 - 2
LAA
36%
24%
40%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
MAE
2 - 0
ACF
14%
19%
67%
|
19 | 11 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
ACF
2 - 1
AND
62%
20%
18%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
ALB
0 - 4
ACF
10%
17%
73%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
ACF
3 - 1
CAR
65%
19%
17%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |