Herning Fremad vs BGA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.4%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.9%
8.7%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Herning Fremad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1998 |
BFR
0 - 0
HER
42%
25%
33%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1998 |
HER
2 - 1
HVI
66%
20%
14%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1998 |
SVE
2 - 2
HER
27%
26%
47%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1998 |
HER
1 - 2
IKA
57%
22%
22%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1998 |
SON
0 - 1
HER
62%
21%
17%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
BGA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1998 |
BGA
0 - 2
ESB
32%
26%
43%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1998 |
B19
1 - 1
BGA
52%
24%
25%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1998 |
NAE
1 - 6
BGA
64%
20%
17%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +2 |
| 13 Sep. 1998 |
BGA
1 - 1
BFR
40%
24%
36%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1998 |
HVI
2 - 0
BGA
67%
19%
14%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | -1 |