Herning Fremad vs Aalborg Chang analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.3%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
16.6%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Herning Fremad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1998 |
FRE
0 - 1
HER
70%
19%
12%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1997 |
HER
7 - 2
HVI
43%
26%
31%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 1997 |
BFR
1 - 0
HER
55%
22%
23%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 1997 |
HER
4 - 1
SVE
56%
23%
22%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 1997 |
ACH
0 - 1
HER
69%
19%
12%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Aalborg Chang
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1998 |
AAL
1 - 0
BGA
61%
21%
18%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1997 |
AAL
4 - 1
ESB
27%
26%
48%
|
52 | 66 | 14 | +2 |
| 02 Nov. 1997 |
NAE
1 - 3
AAL
78%
14%
9%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | +2 |
| 25 Oct. 1997 |
AAL
0 - 4
HVI
35%
25%
39%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 1997 |
BFR
1 - 1
AAL
66%
19%
16%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |