CD Hernani vs SCD Durango analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.9%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
54.8%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Hernani
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
ZAL
3 - 1
HER
67%
21%
12%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
HER
2 - 1
POR
18%
22%
60%
|
22 | 39 | 17 | +3 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
HER
1 - 0
ZAR
70%
17%
13%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
ZAM
1 - 0
HER
66%
20%
14%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
HER
2 - 2
LEI
24%
23%
52%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
SCD Durango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
CDU
3 - 0
ZAR
81%
13%
6%
|
37 | 16 | 21 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
ZAM
0 - 2
CDU
33%
27%
40%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
CDU
1 - 1
LEI
53%
24%
24%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
EIB
2 - 2
CDU
23%
25%
52%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
CDU
1 - 0
CDV
69%
19%
13%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | +1 |