Hernando De Soto vs UD Fornacense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.3%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
18.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+39%
+220%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hernando De Soto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
CDB
1 - 1
HER
61%
19%
20%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
HER
1 - 2
BIE
35%
23%
42%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
HER
3 - 1
MON
42%
22%
36%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
ACE
4 - 0
HER
28%
23%
50%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | -2 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
HER
2 - 1
EME
38%
23%
40%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
UD Fornacense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
UDF
9 - 1
OLV
47%
20%
33%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
UDF
1 - 2
CDB
18%
20%
62%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
BIE
2 - 0
UDF
86%
10%
4%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
MON
3 - 0
UDF
62%
19%
19%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | -2 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
UDF
0 - 1
ACE
58%
21%
22%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | 0 |