Hernando De Soto vs UD Fornacense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.3%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.3%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
43.2%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+73%
+446%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hernando De Soto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
SFO
3 - 1
HER
53%
20%
27%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2019 |
RHI
3 - 1
HER
69%
16%
15%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2019 |
HER
3 - 1
ACE
39%
22%
39%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
EXT
1 - 0
HER
81%
12%
8%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
HER
2 - 2
SEG
21%
20%
59%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
UD Fornacense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
UDF
3 - 2
SAT
41%
23%
36%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2019 |
UDF
1 - 4
ESC
62%
18%
20%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
CDS
4 - 0
UDF
44%
23%
33%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
UDF
4 - 2
BIE
64%
19%
17%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
ALM
2 - 5
UDF
32%
22%
46%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | +1 |