Hernando De Soto vs Emérita Augusta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.5%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.5%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
39.9%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+39%
-60%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hernando De Soto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
BEL
2 - 0
HER
38%
23%
38%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
CAT
2 - 0
HER
56%
20%
24%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
HER
2 - 1
ATH
78%
14%
8%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
OLV
0 - 7
HER
20%
21%
59%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
UDF
0 - 2
HER
33%
22%
45%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Emérita Augusta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
EME
3 - 3
UDF
80%
13%
8%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
EME
1 - 1
CDB
69%
17%
14%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
BIE
3 - 1
EME
38%
23%
38%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
MON
2 - 1
EME
12%
17%
71%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
EME
2 - 1
ACE
90%
8%
3%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | 0 |