Hernán Cortés vs UD Plus Ultra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.1%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
21.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hernán Cortés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
CIU
1 - 1
HER
59%
20%
21%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
HER
2 - 0
NAV
67%
20%
13%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
AMA
0 - 0
HER
31%
23%
46%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
HER
4 - 1
CDD
30%
23%
47%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
MOR
1 - 4
HER
49%
24%
27%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
UD Plus Ultra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
PUL
3 - 1
LAS
63%
18%
18%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
SJO
4 - 3
PUL
54%
20%
27%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
CIU
9 - 3
PUL
55%
21%
25%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | -2 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
PUL
3 - 3
NAV
81%
12%
7%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
AMA
2 - 2
PUL
38%
22%
40%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |