Hernán Cortés vs CD Quintana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.6%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
38.6%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hernán Cortés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
UCL
0 - 1
HER
70%
18%
13%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
VIL
2 - 2
HER
48%
24%
28%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
HER
2 - 0
SPH
64%
20%
16%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
UDF
0 - 0
HER
57%
20%
23%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
HER
3 - 1
CDT
72%
17%
11%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
CD Quintana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
QUI
1 - 1
VIL
59%
19%
21%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
SPH
0 - 1
QUI
18%
19%
62%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
QUI
1 - 0
UDF
53%
21%
26%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
CDT
1 - 1
QUI
11%
16%
73%
|
20 | 11 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
QUI
1 - 0
OLY
60%
19%
21%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | +1 |