Hernán Cortés vs Orellana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
11.2%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hernán Cortés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2011 |
TRU
0 - 1
HER
26%
25%
49%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
HER
4 - 1
CNV
72%
18%
11%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
GUA
0 - 1
HER
15%
22%
63%
|
24 | 11 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
HER
3 - 1
MON
59%
23%
18%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
GIM
0 - 3
HER
22%
23%
55%
|
23 | 12 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Orellana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2011 |
ORE
2 - 1
MOR
62%
21%
17%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2011 |
CDC
2 - 1
ORE
38%
25%
38%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
ORE
1 - 0
SRE
26%
24%
50%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
ADC
0 - 4
ORE
24%
24%
52%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
ORE
0 - 2
CPC
27%
24%
49%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | -1 |