Hernán Cortés vs Jerez analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.7%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
2.3%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
7.9%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
22.1%
67.9%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
18.6%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.9%
0-2
16.2%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.2%
-3
11.6%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+52%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hernán Cortés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
SNV
2 - 2
HER
67%
19%
14%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
HER
0 - 3
CDZ
19%
24%
57%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
CDB
0 - 0
HER
85%
11%
4%
|
18 | 43 | 25 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
HER
3 - 2
PLA
31%
25%
44%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
MAD
4 - 1
HER
85%
12%
4%
|
18 | 43 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Jerez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
JER
0 - 0
MAD
39%
27%
34%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
PUE
0 - 1
JER
21%
25%
54%
|
42 | 26 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
JER
1 - 1
VAL
80%
15%
6%
|
42 | 20 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2015 |
JER
3 - 1
EXT
42%
27%
32%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
AZU
1 - 1
JER
29%
24%
47%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | 0 |